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Stock rise

(Bloomberg) — Asian stocks followed a rebound in the U.S. after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reassured investors the central bank will tackle inflation to extend the economic expansion.

 

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Shares in Japan and Hong Kong led gains throughout the region. The Hang Seng Tech Index advanced to the highest in almost a month, tracking overnight gains in U.S.-listed China tech names. Chinese shares edged higher after inflation came in lower than expected, adding to rate cut calls.

U.S. futures fluctuated after the S&P 500 halted a five-day slide and the Nasdaq 100 outperformed.

Treasuries found support after a solid three-year note sale. The yield on the 10-year note held a drop, while the curve flattened. The dollar was steady after declining and commodity-linked currencies like the Australian dollar stabilized after jumping alongside oil prices.

Powell told the Senate Banking Committee that officials won’t hesitate to act if needed to contain price pressures. He also said the Fed will probably start shrinking its balance sheet this year. He noted the runoff would be quicker than the last time the central bank shrank its balance sheet because the economy was in a much stronger position.

The comments were “consistent with what we’ve been hearing from J. Powell and members of the Fed,” Mary Nicola, Pinebridge Investments senior portfolio manager for global multi-asset, said on Bloomberg Television. “The key thing is how the market interprets it. In our view it’s quantitative tightening that might be a concern as the rate hikes are very well priced in by the market.”

The next focus for traders is Wednesday’s U.S. consumer price index print that is expected to show unrelenting price pressure. Markets have been buffeted by volatility at the start of the year on the prospect of faster interest rate increases to deal with the surge in inflation.

Strong Fundamentals

Strategists from Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to UBS Global Wealth Management seem unperturbed by equities’ rocky start to 2022, reiterating their bullish calls on bets that equities can weather higher rates and rising bond yields.

“The market is grappling with a broad-based rotation and the potential for a hastened pace of rate hikes, which is leading to volatility,” Greg Marcus, a managing director at UBS Private Wealth Management, said in a note. “Regardless of the volatility seen in markets so far this year, corporate fundamentals are strong and we are expecting double-digit earnings growth this year, which should bode well for stock prices in 2022.”

Headwinds remain. Namely the impact on already buckling supply chains from the spread of the Covid-19 omicron variant.

Elsewhere, Bitcoin traded above $42,500 after its roughest start to a year and ominous technical indicators.

Here are some key events this week:

  • EIA crude oil inventory report on Wednesday.
  • China PPI, CPI on Wednesday.
  • U.S. CPI, Fed Beige Book on Wednesday.
  • U.S. initial jobless claims, PPI on Thursday.
  • U.S. Senate Banking Committee hearing for Lael Brainard, nominated as Fed vice-chair on Thursday.
  • Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker,
  • Chicago Fed President Charles Evans speak on Thursday.
  • Bank of Korea policy decision and briefing on Friday.
  • Wells Fargo, Citigroup, JPMorgan due to report earnings on Friday.
  • U.S. business inventories, industrial production, University of Michigan consumer sentiment, retail sales on Friday.
  • New York Fed President John Williams speaks Friday.

For more market analysis, read our MLIV blog.

Some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

  • S&P 500 futures were little changed as of 11:20 a.m. in Tokyo. The S&P 500 rose 0.9%
  • Nasdaq 100 futures were little changed. The Nasdaq 100 rose 1.5%
  • Topix index rose 1.4%
  • Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index gained 0.6%
  • Kospi index added 1.3%
  • Hang Seng Index added 1.7%
  • Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.2%
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures gained 0.7%

Currencies

  • The Japanese yen was at 115.29 per dollar
  • The offshore yuan traded at 6.3723 per dollar
  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed
  • The euro was at $1.1368

Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries was at 1.74%
  • Australia’s 10-year bond yield fell three basis points to 1.86%

Commodities

  • West Texas Intermediate crude was at $81.50 a barrel, up 0.3%
  • Gold was at $1,819.65 an ounce
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